Photovoltaic Electrification and Water Pumping Using the Concepts of Water Shortage Probability and Loss of Power Supply Probability: A Case Study

In this paper, a techno-economic investigation of small-scale solar water pumping system combined with power generation is conducted numerically. Irrigation and production for typical small-size citrus farm located in southern Iran simulated. The consists monocrystalline photovoltaic panels (CS3K-305MS, 305 W), absorbent glass material batteries (8A31DT-DEKA, 104 Wh), inverters (SMA Sunny Boy 2.0, 2000 storage system. key concepts shortage probability (WSP) loss supply (LPSP) are used conjunction users’ tolerances sizing the A genuine MATLAB code was developed validated before simulations. specific electricity consumption pattern rural home variable irrigation profile were considered. main objective study to size that provides both domestic use as well energy required running pumps respect investment cost, LCOE, WSP, LPSP. findings research LPSP WSP threshold can have preponderant effect on cost Interestingly, results reveal there minimum variation capital expenditure (CAPEX) versus number PV panels. For optimal configuration, indicates shifting from an 0% 3% (or about ten days potential yearly shortage) makes LCOE drop by 55%, while decreases 36%.